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THIS PAGE WAS UPDATED ON: 10/21/99

OCTOBER 1999


19 October
U.K. MINISTER: ACTION URGED ON CLIMATE CHANGE

The Financial Times and BBC News reported that
Michael Meacher, the UK environment minister, called for "urgent" international action on climate change after scientists unveiled research yesterday showing current policies will lead to widespread devastation. "If we don't act now, many parts of the world will suffer severely within the lifetime of people alive today," he said, launching a report published by the Meteorological Office Hadley Centre. By 2080, the report predicts, 3 billion people will suffer increased water shortages, 80m more people will be flooded every year, much of the Amazon rainforest will be destroyed and 290m extra people will be put at risk of malaria unless further action is taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. It shows that even if carbon dioxide emissions were stabilized at three times pre-industrial levels - which would require the international community to step up its effort significantly - there would be a substantial loss of tropical rainforest and water shortages in Europe and the Middle East.  

19 October
DROPPING THE FIGHT ON SCIENCE, FIRMS SCRAMBLE TO LOOK GREENER
The Wall Street Journal's Marketplace Section reported that in major corners of corporate America, it's suddenly becoming cool to fight global warming. Facing significant shifts in the politics and science of global warming, some of the nation's biggest companies are starting to count greenhouse gases and change business practices to achieve real cuts in emissions. Many of them are finding the exercise is green in more ways than one: Reducing global warming can lead to energy-cost savings. Not since the days of bell-bottoms, disco and oil embargoes have so many big companies been so concerned with energy. Engineers at United Technologies Corp.'s Pratt & Whitney unit now use computers to simulate some tests of jet engines instead of running the turbines.  For the first time this year, managers at BP Amoco PLC will be evaluated on how well they cut emissions, alongside their financial results. And executives at American Electric Power Co., the nation's second-biggest producer of coal-powered electricity, have decided to spend $5.5 million on a Bolivian reforestation project—an attempt to offset the carbon dioxide it releases in the U.S. The changes, though gradual, are coming as more and larger companies are accepting the hotly debated scientific theory that man-made carbon-dioxide emissions are warming the earth. And even when they question the science, companies like General Motors Corp. say there is enough cause for concern to warrant actions now. One reason for the change: Many U.S. multinationals trying to keep pace with Europe's faster approach simply don't want to be on the extreme end of the political spectrum, especially if they want a seat at the table where regulations are being crafted. Some hope to forestall or dilute legislation by reducing emissions voluntarily.
 

15 October
EU'S DE PALACIO SAYS NUCLEAR NEEDED FOR KYOTO TARGETS

Reuters
reported that the European Union will need nuclear energy to reach its greenhouse gas reduction targets under the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, according to EU Energy Commissioner Loyola de Palacio. "I'm not terribly keen on nuclear energy. I don't think anyone is, because it does entail risks," de Palacio told a European Parliament committee. "But if we don't have it, we won't be able to stick by the terms of the Kyoto agreement. And it does give us greater energy autonomy," de Palacio said. A number of EU countries, including Germany and Belgium, are debating scaling down or abandoning their nuclear power stations, which produce no carbon dioxide but do carry risks of radiation leaks. De Palacio told the parliament that efforts had to be made to secure reliable long-term energy supplies for the EU. She said the bloc is already dependent on imports for 50 percent of its energy needs and that this could rise to 70 percent by 2020. She called on the power industry and EU governments to redouble their efforts to complete the process of liberalisation of the bloc's electricity and gas sectors, threatening to introduce additional legislation if markets were not opened in accordance with existing laws. 

13 October
MIT STUDY ASSESSES EFFECTS OF KYOTO PROTOCOL ON CLIMATE CHANGE

Science Daily
reported that t
he first comprehensive assessment of economic, atmospheric, climatic, and ecosystem effects of the Kyoto Protocol on Climate Change would appear in Nature's October 7 issue. The study, by researchers from MIT and the Marine Biological Laboratory at Woods Hole, shows that a strategy for controlling multiple gases associated with greenhouse warming could reduce control costs by over 60 percent compared with controlling carbon dioxide (CO2) alone. The study also indicates flaws in the "yardstick" by which gases are compared under the Kyoto Protocol, an agreement now signed by 84 countries, including the U.S., that was negotiated in December 1997 with the intent of slowing global warming. "The main finding is that including gases other than CO2 emissions from fossil fuels could greatly reduce costs of meeting the Protocol," observes Dr. John Reilly, lead author of the paper and associate director for research at the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change. "Economically efficient policies will be required that encourage reduction of these emissions -- not an easy task, as reductions must come from sources as diverse as landfills, aluminum production, livestock, and electrical switchgear." Adds co-author Professor Ronald Prinn, head of MIT's Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences and co-director of the Joint Program, "No other effort to date has comprehensively considered both the scientific and economic implications of the Protocol. The results are exciting and illuminating." Much current analysis and policy discussion narrows climate issues to a debate about carbon emissions from fossil fuels. Most economic analyses likewise have considered only emissions of CO2 from fossil fuels. This situation has, according to the present study, led to an approximately 21 percent overestimation of annual costs in 2010 for meeting Kyoto Protocol emissions caps in industrialized regions.
 

6-7 October
INFORMAL EXCHANGE OF VIEWS AND INFORMATION ON COMPLIANCE 
The informal exchange of views and information on compliance under the Kyoto Protocol to the Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC) was held from 6-7 October 1999 at the Diplomatische Akademie in Vienna, Austria. The informal ex­change was designed to facilitate deliberations on the development of a compliance system under the Kyoto Protocol. The workshop was organized by the Austrian Government in cooperation with the FCCC Secretariat and the Co-Chairs of the Joint Working Group on Compliance (JWG). Ninety-seven participants attended the meeting, including experts, representatives from governments, UN agencies, and intergovernmental and non-governmental organizations. Partic­ipants met in several sessions over two days to hear presentations from experts and discuss various issues related to compliance, in­cluding: compliance regimes under the Montreal Protocol, the Con­vention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution (LRTAP) and its protocols, the International Labour Organization (ILO) and the World Trade Organization (WTO); institutional issues such as facil­itative and enforcement functions, eligibility to raise issues and in­formation gathering; and issues related to the consequences of non-compliance. The Co-Chairs of the JWG will prepare a non-pa­per on elements of a compliance system based on discussions held during the workshop to be presented to the fifth Conference of the Parties to the FCCC. The ENB report of the meeting can be found at http://enb.iisd.org/climate/ccom1/
.

  SEPTEMBER 1999


28 September
SPECIAL SESSION OF THE GENERAL ASSEMBLY FOR THE REVIEW OF THE PROGRAMME OF ACTION FOR THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF SIDS 
The Special Session of the General Assembly (GA) for the review and appraisal of the implementation of the Programme of Action (POA) for the Sustainable Development of Small Island Developing States (SIDS) convened in New York from 27-28 September 1999. Over the course of the meeting, delegates met in five Plenary sessions and heard addresses from 11 Heads of State or Vice-Presidents, 59 Ministers and more than 50 permanent representatives. The Special Session established an Ad Hoc Committee of the Whole (COW), which met in two parallel sessions to the Plenary. The Special Session adopted a political declaration and a text on the state of initiatives for the future implementation of the POA. The Special Session also forwarded a draft resolution on the Caribbean Sea to the regular session of the GA for further consideration. The ENB report can be found at http://enb.iisd.org/sids/. A Philadelphia Inquirer story focused on vulnerability as the main reason islands have been among the most vocal nations in calling for international action to curb man-made emissions of gases that can trap more and more of the sun's heat in the atmosphere. Island nations raised the issue at a special session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York.

20 September
INFORMAL MINISTERIAL CONSULTATIONS
Informal ministerial consultations were held in Warsaw, Poland on 20 September 1999. According to the Chair's summary of the meeting, all Parties expressed a keen interest in maintaining or increasing the momentum of the negotiations through the next year. Many Parties spoke of the need for a package at COP-6 that is ratifiable. A number of Parties noted that if certain Parties cannot ratify the Protocol, it would not come into effect. The Ministers generally agreed on the need for a balanced outcome, with resolution of both Convention and Protocol issues. Some participants noted in particular such issues as technology transfer and capacity building, particularly in developing countries. Some participants also listed the cooperative mechanisms, compliance, sinks, and participation of a broader number of countries under the Protocol as key issues that would need to be resolved.
Given the number an complexity of the outstanding issues, a number of Parties preferred to hold COP-6 in the Spring of 2001. Some also noted this would allow the COP to consider the IPCC Third Assessment Report. However, some Parties expressed their positions to hold COP-6 in the fall of 2000, due to provisions in the rules of procedure. A number of Parties stated that progress on those issues should proceed in parallel. Some ministers called for flexibility and urged that Parties not set pre-conditions for agreement. A few Participants urged Parties to focus on the BAPA rather than introduce new issues, which may cause controversy.
Most ministers acknowledged that a number of areas of significant disagreement remained, but urged Parties to set as many of these aside as possible at COP-5 to provide the greatest possible progress on areas of convergence. The participants called for the development of negotiating text at COP-5 in a variety of areas, such as national communications by both Annex I and non-Annex I Parties, the mechanisms, AIJ, and compliance. Many participants also urged continued constructive progress on capacity building and technology transfer. Ministers noted the need for the high-level segment of COP-5 to give political direction to the negotiations. The ministers also called for additional high level consultations to periodically assess progress and resolve outstanding issues. Such a consultation would be held in the Spring of 2000 in New York during the High level segment of the Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD).

10 September
SELLING RAIN FOREST SINKS
The Christian Science Monitor
said that Honduras was joining other developing nations that "sell" the carbon absorption capacity of forests to industrialized countries and use the money to protect tropical forests. An agreement with Canada would be signed next week. The deal stems from developed nations' large production of carbon dioxide, the gas believed to cause global warming. Therefore, some think, these countries are morally responsible to pay for the protection of endangered carbon dioxide-consuming ecosystems, such as the Honduran tropical rain forests. With the agreement, Canada will establish a joint office in Honduras to monitor forest conservation efforts. Experts estimate the Honduran forests absorb between 5 million and 10 million tons of carbon dioxide a year. The country will charge between $10 and $30 a ton.

8 September
PRICEWATERHOUSE, ECOSECURITIES IN GREENHOUSE DEAL

According to the
Times of India , Pricewaterhouse Coopers said it has formed an alliance with EcoSecurities Ltd to jointly develop products and services related to climate change and greenhouse gases. Pricewaterhouse said the alliance with EcoSecurities, a specialist greenhouse gas mitigation company, will focus on financial advisory services such as the impact of emission caps on corporate valuations.   Pricewaterhouse "anticipates explosive growth in the demand for products and services related to climate change, and of the need to provide leading edge advice to our clients on how it might affect them," Ross Herron lead partner at Pricewaterhouse's energy and mining industry group Australasia said in a statement. Pricewaterhouse said the alliance with EcoSecurities, a specialist greenhouse gas mitigation company, will focus on financial advisory services such as the impact of emission caps on corporate valuations.

 AUGUST 1999


31 August
NORDICS ROLL OUT COOPERATIVE MECHANISMS INITIATIVE 

ENS reported that the Baltic region could become a main testing ground for some of the mechanisms envisaged under the Kyoto Protocol. The proposals come under an initiative close to being finalized by the inter-governmental Nordic Council. Draft proposals would be presented to delegates in the Baltic Sea Council at a workshop in Malmö, Sweden. The proposals include joint implementation projects, under which countries fund and receive credit for emissions reductions projects in second countries. These would probably be administered through a clearing house within the Helsinki based Nordic Investment Bank, and financed through a fund created specially for the purpose. A possible Nordic system of green certificates for renewable energy is also being developed. Taking in both relatively rich and poor countries with widely differing levels and structures of greenhouse gas emissions, the Baltic grouping could prove fertile ground for joint implementation schemes. Sweden, for example, could notch up credits for helping to convert oil-fired power stations to biomass in countries such as Estonia. Swedish officials say this option could be very attractive given Sweden's small scope for further reducing domestic emissions, and particularly in the light of the country's commitment to phasing out nuclear power. The next priority will be to define a baseline for such a scheme, as well as structures to validate it. The idea of creating a common "Baltic bubble" as a starting point for a burden-sharing agreement on emissions reduction similar to that struck by European Union countries has also been mooted, but is thought too ambitious at present. Officials are at pains to stress that the initiatives are being developed "in parallel with the Kyoto process," and that no final decisions will be taken until after the sixth conference of parties due in late 2000. 
28 August
SYDNEY FUTURES EXCHANGE ANNOUNCES PLAN TO CREATE CARBON EXCHANGE

The Sydney Morning Herald reported that the Sydney Futures Exchange (SFE) had announced plans create the world's first exchange-traded market for carbon credits as part of a plan to become a global emissions trading centre. The SFE said it expected to offer trading of so-called carbon sequestration credits by the middle of next year. The exchange is developing the market with NSW State Forests. According to the Australian Financial Review, the Tokyo Electric Power Co (TEPCO) signed a $3million deal with Australia's NSW State Forests to plant 1,000 hectares of forest in 2000, with the possibility this could expand to 40,000 hectares over the coming decade. The deal was based on a confidential information memorandum prepared early this year by NSW State Forests. The NSW Government hailed the memorandum and the TEPCO deal as the first in the world to take account of the "carbon value" of forest plantations.

12 August
CLINTON SEEKS TO PROMOTE TECHNOLOGY FOR CLEANER FUEL
CNN-All Politics reported that President Clinton was taking steps today to address global warming by setting a goal to increase within 10 years U.S. use of technology that converts plants and trees into fuel, chemicals and electricity. The president was issuing an executive order establishing a council to coordinate the federal government's effort to develop a biomass research program, and setting a goal of tripling use of bioenergy and bioproducts by 2010. Biomass energy, generated mostly from wood and wood waste, is currently about 3 percent of the total U.S. energy supply. Biomass technology uses trees, crops and waste from agriculture or forestry to make energy that can then be used as fuel for cars or power factories. It also can be used to create a variety of chemicals and products ranging from pharmaceuticals to glue, paint or even textiles. The ultimate goal of Clinton's order is to replace coal, oil, natural gas and uranium with cleaner, renewable biomass energy. If the goal of tripling biomass use by 2010 is met, annual greenhouse gas emissions would drop by more than 100 million tons, the equivalent of taking 70 million automobiles off the nation's roads, the White House said.

JULY 1999


 
16 July
MAJURO STATEMENT ON CLIMATE CHANGE

The Alliance of Small Island States Workshop on the Clean Development Mechanism of the Kyoto Protocol took place in Majuro, Republic of the Marshall Islands at the Outrigger Resort from 14-16 July 1999. The Workshop was organized and hosted by the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) and the Government of the Republic of the Marshall Islands. It had over 50 participants, including country representatives from the small island states in the South Pacific, Indian Ocean, South
China Sea, Mediterranean and Caribbean, experts from various UN and regional organizations, a representative from an environmental NGO and special invitees from the Philippines, Mauritania, the US, UK, Australia, Norway, New Zealand and Switzerland. Participants discussed elements of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) of the Kyoto Protocol including assessment of vulnerability and adaptation, use of renewable energy in the design of mitigation projects under the CDM, and capacity building for AOSIS member states. 

The participants adopted the Majuro Statement on Climate Change, which will be brought to the attention, inter alia, of the Fifth Conference of Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP-5) in Bonn, 25 October-5 November 1999. The Statement highlighted domestic action in achieving the Protocol commitments; noted the need for the CDM to be a credible and viable Protocol mechanism; stressed the need for special capacity building initiatives in the least developed states and small island developing states; underscored the importance of vulnerability assessment and adaptation to the members of the AOSIS; and resolved to work together to coordinate donor activities and domestic priorities to more effectively address capacity building and adaptation needs of small island developing states. See, the Sustainable Developments report, along with the Majuro Statement. 
8 July
WORLD BANK/DET NORSKE VERITAS PROJECT

CBS News reported that a $23 million project involving energy-efficient light bulbs in Mexico could lead to a global market for trading credits rewarded to countries or companies for curbing greenhouse gas emissions. World Bank and other officials involved in the project said it was the first time an international treaty on climate change was used to verify emissions reductions. The accord will be reviewed in November in Bonn, Germany. "The learning experience from this first pilot can be used to formalize the development of rules" for monitoring the reduction of greenhouse gases under the Kyoto Protocol, said Trygve Larsen, vice president of Det Norske Veritas, an international verification foundation based in Norway. To reduce costs, the agreement envisions a system in which countries obtain emission-reduction credits from other countries that already have met certain pollution levels. Critics argue it will be difficult to verify such emission reductions.
The approach officials discussed would involve private companies creating and transferring greenhouse emission-reduction credits. For example, a company could obtain a credit with a certain dollar value by building a power plant in a developing country. It could then sell that credit on the market or acquire credits. To gain international acceptance that any emission reductions achieved are genuine requires certification by an independent, internationally recognized third party auditor. Residents in the Mexican cities of Monterrey and Guadalajara replaced ordinary light bulbs with energy saving ones that are 75 percent more efficient and last 10 times longer. The objective was to require less electricity and thus reduce emissions of carbon dioxide from power plants. Det Norske Veritas confirmed the lighting helped cut the equivalent of 171,168 tons of carbon dioxide from 1995 to 1998. See also -DET NORSKE VERITAS 

JUNE 1999


28 June
COMPANIES LAUNCH GHG EMISSIONS TRADING SYSTEM
The Times of London reported that Britain's top industrial companies are banding together to launch a greenhouse gas emissions-trading system in an attempt to persuade the Government that it should drop its plans for a carbon tax that could cost polluters almost £2 billion per year. Some 25 companies, including BP Amoco, Shell, BG, Blue Circle and British Airways are expected to launch a project to develop a market for trading in carbon dioxide emissions permits.
Charles Nicholson, group senior adviser at BP Amoco said that the plan was to devise a system that would become a prototype for a national greenhouse-gas trading  system that could assist Britain to meet carbon dioxide targets agreed at the  Kyoto summit. BP Amoco last week appointed the accountants KPMG, Det Norske Veritas and ICF consulting, to audit and verify the company's internal greenhouse gas emissions. The oil company is already trading carbon permits between its business units in an effort to reduce its own 77 million tonnes of CO2 by 10 per cent by 2010. Each business unit has emission targets and can either sell CO2 permits if it does better than planned or buy permits if it overshoots. BP's system currently values CO2 at $22 per tonne, in effect the cost per tonne of reducing CO2 output.

24 June
RED CROSS REPORT ON INCREASING DISASTERS

The New York Times, along with several other papers, highlighted a Red Cross report warning that, driven by climatic changes, natural disasters are increasing and threatening economically vulnerable countries. The annual World Disasters Report said that in six years, the number of people who needed aid after disasters like floods and earthquakes had risen, from fewer than 500,000 a year to more than 5.5 million. Last year, natural disasters left far more people needing aid than armed conflicts did, the report said. Drought, flooding, deforestation and soil problems drove more than 25 million people from their houses, the study found. In Indonesia, the El Niño weather pattern set off the worst drought in 50 years, exemplifying a trend of chain-reaction disasters, the report said. The drought caused rice yields to plummet and led to an increase in rice imports. Because of a devalued currency, the price of imported rice soared to four times its earlier level and food riots erupted in the capital, Jakarta. At the same time, Indonesia had a dry rainy season, so fires that farmers set in slash-and-burn agriculture were not doused. Other countries and regions have also suffered disasters like Hurricane Mitch in Central America. An additional 10 million people are vulnerable to flooding because they live in low-lying areas. The Red Cross estimated that 96 percent of deaths from natural disasters were in developing countries. "We used to look at these natural disasters as blips on the screen of a country's development," the director of disaster policy at the Red Cross, Peter Walker, said. "But now they really change the development future of a country." Access to insurance is dropping because insurers have incurred mounting losses for 10 years, the report said, and natural disasters represent 85 percent of insured catastrophe losses. See also:
CBS; BBC; Time Magazine

15 June
US WARNS OF STALEMATE
The Financial Times reported that a senior US official had warned that international negotiations on climate change could end in tragedy unless they make significant progress over the next few years. "We are nearing a critical period," said Frank Loy, under secretary of state for global affairs, at a conference organized by the Royal Institute of International Affairs in London. Mr. Loy said the US could not ratify the Kyoto protocol as it stands. The US insists on the participation of developing countries because of concerns about competitiveness and the increasing scale of emissions from them. The idea that developing countries have little to gain from the Kyoto protocol is a myth, he said. Flexible mechanisms could bring a large amount of "green" investment to developing countries because they allowed industrialized countries to claim credit for financing emission-avoiding projects. "Eventually capital transfers under the Kyoto protocol will dwarf those from official assistance," he said. Mr. Loy criticized attempts by the EU and others to impose limits on the use of emission trading, which allows countries to buy and sell surplus emission allowances. The EU believes their excessive use would unduly reduce the pressure on industrialized countries to make domestic cuts. The proposed cap on emission trading would increase the cost of complying with the Kyoto protocol and waste scarce capital, said Mr Loy. If complying with the protocol became unnecessarily costly, there was little chance of US ratification. He also dismissed attempts to control "hot air", the term used to describe surplus emission allowances held by Russia and the Ukraine. Many observers fear they could flood the market with emission credit, reducing the incentive for other countries to cut their own domestic emissions. Mr Loy said the concerns were exaggerated. "The obsession about hot air misses the wood for the trees," he said.
Also at the RIIA meeting, Reuters reported that some of the Protocol's leading architects were speaking openly about the possibility of its demise. The 1997 Kyoto Protocol has always had its critics. Now even officials at the innermost circle of Kyoto Protocol delegations are raising the possibility that the sheer political and economic complexity of the deal may render the pact's ambitions unachievable. ``At this point I honestly believe that the protocol has as much chance of being still-born as it does of coming into force,'' New Zealand environment minister Simon Upton told a conference in London on Tuesday. Upton is a 10-year veteran of the climate debate and a former chairman of the U.N. Commission on Sustainable Development. Delegates openly concede that with such divergent interests the pinnacle achievement behind closed doors at recent U.N. summits has been establishing unified internal positions within negotiating blocs rather than an international consensus. But most key officials in the West still hold out hope that the deal will survive.

15 June 
CUTAJAR SEES END TO EU - US ROW
Negotiations on reducing emissions of the greenhouse gases are on track despite disagreement between Europe and the United States on how to achieve the cuts, according to FCCC Executive Secretary Michael Zammit Cutajar in a Reuters news story. He expected a broad deal to emerge by the time of a conference, scheduled for the end of next year, on implementing emission cuts. "There will be agreements at COP-6 that will require further work," Cutajar said in an interview during talks in Bonn, referring to a U.N.-hosted meeting due to take place in the Dutch city of The Hague around the end of 2000. "But I am expecting that COP-6 should deal with the big issues separating the parties," he added. Cutajar said neither bloc had retreated from its position during the largely technical talks in Bonn but said there was a growing "sense of movement" entering discussions. Cutajar said the major polluters were holding off ratifying the document until it was clear exactly what it would require of them. "COP-6 would be the trigger for a wave of ratifications," he said, adding that without a deal in The Hague there was, conversely, little chance of the United States ratifying the protocol.

MAY 1999


31 May – 11 June
TENTH SESSION OF THE FCCC SUBSIDIARY BODIES
The subsidiary bodies to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC) held their tenth sessions at the Maritim Hotel in Bonn, Germany, from 31 May - 11 June 1999, and began the process of fulfilling the Buenos Aires Plan of Action, which was adopted at the Fourth Conference of the Parties (COP-4) in November 1998. Under the Plan of Action, Parties set a two-year deadline for strengthening implementation of the FCCC and preparing for the future entry into force of the Kyoto Protocol. The Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice (SBSTA) considered topics such as Annex I communications, methodological issues and the development and transfer of technology. The Subsidiary Body for Implementation (SBI) discussed, inter alia, administrative and financial matters and non-Annex I communications. SBI and SBSTA jointly considered the mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol, activities implemented jointly and compliance. After a slow start, work at the subsidiary bodies picked up during the latter part of the second week. Delegates clarified their positions on the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms and agreed that a new synthesis document should be prepared. Progress was also made on compliance. Difficulties remained in a number of methodological debates and on proposals for an expanded biennium budget from the FCCC Executive Secretary. The sessions were punctuated by a series of three bomb scares resulting in evacuations from the Maritim Hotel. Check out Linkages coverage of the meeting

13 May
EU STATES AGREE ON A UNITED FRONT ON GLOBAL WARMING
Reuters reported that the European Union governments agreed on a common approach for international talks on controlling emissions of greenhouse gases. Diplomats from the 15 EU states finalized the bloc's negotiating position after the Netherlands, Sweden and Finland dropped their opposition to an earlier proposal at a meeting of EU environment ministers. Under the Protocol, the EU has to cut its emissions of six greenhouse gases by 8 percent from 1990 levels between 2008 and 2012. Cuts are shared between the 15 EU members, depending on current pollution levels and their level of industrial development. Luxembourg must slash its emissions by 28 percent, while Portugal will be allowed to increase its emissions by 27 percent. Acting EU Environment Commissioner Ritt Bjerregaard wants to limit the use of so-called "flexible mechanisms" - such as emissions trading – to ensure that countries meet the lion's share of their commitments by cutting their own domestic emissions. The Dutch, Swedes and Finns had sought to water down the Commission's tough line, but have now agreed to a formula which guarantees that at least half of the EU's commitments must be met by genuine domestic reductions in pollution. "It's a very complex formula," the official said. "But the bottom lineis that at least 50 percent of the reductions must be achieved through domestic action." Agreement was reached only after a last-minute protest by Denmark, which feared that overuse of flexible mechanisms would undermine the agreement, officials said. Bjerregaard is anxious to prevent other developed countries, including the United States, from wriggling out of their commitments by watering down what was agreed in Kyoto, Japan. The paper finally agreed by the EU calls on countries to "develop strong domestic policies and measures in order to modify long-term emission trends...production and consumption patterns. Thereby, it will contribute to preparing the path for more ambitious commitments." It also watered down calls in an earlier draft for a quick decision on plans for an EU-wide energy tax, after opposition led by Greece, officials said.

6 May
EU NEARS CO2 DEAL WITH JAPAN CARMAKERS, KOREA STALLS
Reuters reported that Japanese carmakers are nearing agreement with the European Commission on a voluntary scheme to cut emissions, but negotiations with Korean manufacturers remain deadlocked, EU officials said.  The Japan Automobile manufacturers' Association had reached a "tentative agreement" with the Commission to reduce fuel consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in line with a similar deal struck with European constructors last July, JAMA spokesman Darcy Nicolle told Reuters.  "A tentative agreement has been struck, which just needs to be formally approved by company presidents and the EU side," Nicolle said. But talks on Tuesday with the Korea Automobile Manufacturers' Association foundered on Seoul's insistence that it should be treated more leniently as a developing country.  "The Commission said KAMA's proposals would be hard to accept in their current form," a Korean diplomat told Reuters.  "KAMA says Europe should take account of the fact that Korea is a developing economy and is starting from acompletely different basis from European and Japanese carmakers," he said. Europe's manufacturers agreed last year to cut average fuel consumption to about six litres per 100 kilometres (1.3 gallons per 62 miles) by 2008, down from the current average of 7.7 litres/100km, a move that would cut the amount of carbon dioxide in exhaust fumes from 186 grams/km to 140g/km.  They chose to reach a voluntary agreement under pressure from the Commission, the EU's executive, which threatened to impose binding rules if talks on voluntary standards failed.  The accord forms part of the EU's efforts to cut emissions of so-called greenhouse gases, which are blamed for global warming. The Commission is looking for "equivalent" measures to be adopted by Japan and Korea. Because they have a larger share of the small car market than the market for bigger, more polluting vehicles, there has been disagreement about how to define "equivalent."  "We still need to see how to achieve this equivalency, given that their fleets are rather different," a Commission spokesman said.  "Obviously there's less scope for cutting emissions from small cars than for the bigger ones."  EU Industry Commissioner Martin Bangemann and Environment Commissioner Ritt Bjerregaard are still considering legislation to force Korea to toe the EU line, officials said, though they admitted it would be difficult to impose laws specifically to target one country.

APRIL 1999


28 April
US SENATORS ALTERNATIVE TO CLIMATE TREATY

The Washington Post reported that U.S. senators opposed to the Kyoto climate change treaty introduced legislation that would replace international mandates for cutting carbon gas emissions with voluntary, market-based programs. Opponents of the Kyoto pact cited calculations from the U.S. Department of Energy that said meeting targeted emissions cuts would boost domestic gasoline and electricity prices by 53 percent and 86 percent, respectively, by the year 2010. Called the Energy and Climate Policy Act of 1999, the mostly GOP-backed bill attempts to change the debate on whether to implement terms of the unratified treaty, and instead offers measures its sponsors say are achievable. "Even if we could eventually halt all emissions from the 35 industrial nations required to limit emissions under the Kyoto Protocol, emissions from the 134 developing nations would continue to grow and atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases would continue to increase," said Sen. Frank H. Murkowski (R-Alaska), chairman of the Senate Energy Committee. The Clinton administration signed the Kyoto Protocol in November 1998, but staunch opposition in the Senate has kept the White House from submitting the treaty for ratification. A coalition of environmentalists blasted the newly proposed legislation as fundamentally unsound, calling it a "dangerous diversion" that does nothing to curb growing rates of U.S. carbon emissions.

19 April
TECHNICAL WORKSHOP ON MECHANISMS UNDER ARTICLES 6, 12 AND 17 OF THE KYOTO PROTOCOL: 9-15 APRIL 1999

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Technical Workshop on Mechanisms under Articles 6, 12 and 17 of the Kyoto Protocol was held from 9-15 April 1999 at La Redoute in Bonn-Bad Godesberg, Germany. The workshop was designed to advance the discussion on technological and methodological aspects of Article 6 (joint implementation), Article 12 (clean development mechanism) and Article 17 (emissions trading) so that the Conference of the Parties can take decisions on all three mechanisms at its sixth session. The workshop was attended by approximately 100 invited participants, which included experts from Parties and representatives from governments, UN agencies, and intergovernmental and non-governmental organizations. Core topics at the workshop included reference case/baseline methodologies, additionality, verification and reporting in relation to the clean development mechanism (CDM) and Article 6 projects. Further issues addressed included the validation and funding of projects under the CDM and the adaptation component, and reporting, verification and accountability issues related to emissions trading. Participants also exchanged views on capacity building for developing country Parties. Check out ENB's coverage of the workshop including a summary report, recordings and photos from the meeting.

14 April
US-CHINESE COOPERATION HIGHLIGHTED WITH AGREEMENTS ON EMISSIONS TRADING, ENVIRONMENTAL TECHNOLOGY AND INVESTMENT

M2 Presswire reported that Vice President Al Gore and Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji at the close of the Second Session of the U.S.-China Policy Forum on Environment and Development announced a series of agreements that will help open Chinese markets to U.S. environmental technology, expand U.S. investment in the Chinese energy sector, and take several steps toward reducing greenhouse gas emissions in China. In an agreement that will accelerate the export of U.S. environmental technology to China, the U.S. Export-Import Bank, the Department of Energy, the China Development Bank, and China's State Development Planning Commission have signed A Memorandum of Understanding on a $100 Million Clean Energy Program. By funding the sale of U.S. environmental technology to China, this program will accelerate the deployment of clean U.S. technologies in the area of energy efficiency, renewable energy, and pollution reduction.
In an agreement that will move China closer to a system of emissions trading, the EPA and China's State Environmental Protection Administration signed a Statement of Intent on development of a Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) Emissions Trading Feasibility Study. The agreement calls for developing a study to test the effectiveness of emissions trading in China as a market-based approach to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This approach -- which uses market mechanisms to create financial rewards for reducing pollution -- has been successful in cutting pollution at low cost in the United States. In an agreement that paves the way for the first-ever foreign investment in an on-shore natural gas pipeline in China, Enron Corporation signed a Memorandum of Understanding on a natural Gas Pipeline Project with China National Petroleum Corporation for the joint development of a natural gas pipeline in south central China. This pipeline would represent an important piece of China's natural gas infrastructure and help offer a cleaner alternative to fossil fuels. The US and Chinese delegations also concluded agreements involving energy efficiency, air quality management, cleaner air and cleaner energy technology, and the impact of pollution on children's health. The US-China Policy Forum on Environment and Development was founded by Vice President Gore and then-Premier Li Peng in March 1997 to expand cooperation and intensify dialogue between the US and China on issues related to sustainable development, particularly protection of the global environment.
22 April
EU CLEARS GERMAN ECOLOGICAL TAX SCHEME

Reuters reported that the European Commission approved the German government's ecological tax reform, saying it does not break European Union rules on state aid. The Commission had questioned plans to limit the tax hikes for certain energy intensive industries, including agriculture and the railways, but has now decided that the measures are in line with the EU's environmental goals. "The Commission has decided not to raise any objections...since it sees them as being in line with the Community guidelines on state aid for environmental protection, its past practice in other member states and the environmental policy of the Community," it said in a statement. The scheme will initially be approved for three years. The German government will then reapply for the Commission's approval if it has not completed the second stage of its tax reform by then, the Commission, the EU's executive, said. Germany increased taxes on petrol, electricity, heating fuel and other energy products on April 1 to improve environmental protection and compensate for a reduction in salary-linked contributions, to fight unemployment.

MARCH 1999


15 March
U.N. SAYS RUSSIA, CROATIA SIGN KYOTO CLIMATE PACT

Reuters reported that Russia, the world's second leading producer of emissions thought to cause global warming, and Croatia had signed a world climate pact ahead of a March 15 deadline. "We received notification from New York that Croatia and Russia signed yesterday," a U.N. official in Bonn told Reuters. Almost 80 nations have signed the pact ahead of a Monday deadline and seven of the nations most threatened by the effects of climate change have ratified it. Countries have until March 15 to sign the U.N. Kyoto Protocol, an international treaty which would legally bind developed nations to limit their output of fossil fuel emissions and other harmful gases in the coming century. Under the U.N. plan, a treaty would go into effect only if the accord is ratified by countries accounting for 55 percent of 1990 developed world emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2). Russia accounted for 17.4 percent of CO2 emissions among industrial countries, while the United States, which signed the pact in November, accounted for over a third. Hungary, Iceland and the Ukraine are still missing from the list of signatories, chief U.N. climate official Michael Zammit Cutajar said.
11 March
EU PUSHES KOREA, JAPAN ON CAR POLLUTION STANDARDS

Reuters reported that European Union environment ministers said they would consider imposing binding restrictions on cars from South Korea and Japan if talks on air pollution standards were not wrapped up by the end of May. The ministers said they were concerned about slow progress in the talks, especially with the Korean car industry. The European Commission, the executive arm of the 15-member EU, has been attempting to convince Japanese and Korean manufacturers to make the same commitments to produce more fuel-efficient cars as their European rivals. The European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA) agreed last July to reduce car fuel consumption in an effort to cut carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in the fight against global warming. However, it said its effort hinged on Japanese and Korean car manufacturers taking equivalent action. The Commission reported to ministers that negotiations with the Japan Automobile Manufacturers' Association (JAMA) were likely to produce a deal after further talks in April. However, it said it remained far apart from the Korea Automobile Manufacturers' Association (KAMA) on what is required to mirror ACEA's commitments. They told the Commission to conclude its negotiations with both groups by the end of May and asked it to present a report in June that would evaluate whether legislative measures were needed to impose the pollution standards.
11 March
EU FAILS TO AGREE LIMITS ON GLOBAL EMISSIONS TRADING
Reuters reported that European Union environment ministers on Thursday failed to agree on how to limit the use ``flexible mechanisms'' by countries trying to meet global commitments to cut greenhouse gas emissions. The EU wants a ceiling on trading to ensure that countries fulfil the bulk of their commitments by cutting their own emissions. The ministers considered several formulas based on the percentages of certain types of emissions that would apply to industrialised countries that either transfer or acquire emission targets. But some countries, including the Netherlands, Sweden and Finland, argued that the formulas were too rigid, an EU official said. The Netherlands wanted to achieve 50 percent of its own cuts through the flexible mechanisms.
9 March
UK INTRODUCES ENERGY TAX ON BUSINESS

The Independent reported that the Chancellor would announce plans today to tax the business use of gas, electricity and oil to raise an estimated £7bn and help Britain to meet its targets for reducing greenhouse gases. Tony Blair met Gordon Brown twice to finalise the Budget package, adding to speculation that the Prime Minister intervened at an early stage to reduce the impact of tax changes on middle-class families. But with most of the Budget papers already being printed, it is believed they were working on the final tone of the speech to be delivered to Parliament. In one key development, Mr Brown ended the prevarication over an energy tax by acting on the conclusions of the report by Lord Marshall of Knightsbridge, the chairman of British Airways, in favour of taxing big users of energy to help Britain meet multilateral emissions agreements. Labour's election manifesto pledged to cut harmful carbon dioxide emissions, which produce global warming, by 2010. Business leaders are worried that the tax will create an advantage for foreign competitors, but they are braced for the announcement and have privately indicated that their criticism will be muted. The measure was welcomed by environmentalists. It forms part of the Chancellor's "green" strategy agreed with the Deputy Prime Minister.
4 March
US SENATORS INTRODCUCE LEGISLATION ON EARLY CREDIT

Sen. John H. Chafee (R-R.I., Chair of the Environment and Public Works Committee, with Sens. Connie Mack (R-Fla.), Joseph Lieberman (D-Conn.), John Warner (R-Va.), Daniel Patrick Moynihan (D-N.Y.) and a host of others introduced S. 547, the Credit for Voluntary Reductions Act. The intent is to diminish this uncertainty, this regulatory and financial risk, with which the business community must now contend. The bill does this by creating an "escrow account" for any U.S. entity that has made up its own mind to do things to reduce or sequester greenhouse gases. According to its authors, it does not intend to jave any other effect with respect to ratification and implementation of the Kyoto Protocol or any other international or domestic regulatory program. Statements from the Senate Hearing on the bill "Voluntary Activities to Reduce the Emission of Greenhouse Gases," held 24 March 1999 are available at http://www.senate.gov/~epw/stm1_106.htm#03-24-99.

FEBRUARY 1999


12 February
EU PARLIAMENT REJECTS ENERGY TAXATION LEGISLATION

Reuters
reported that the European Parliament rejected plans to increase taxes on energy products in the European Union, sending it back to committee for further debate. The draft law on energy products was designed to bring existing minimum rates of tax on heating and motor fuels, set in 1992, into line with inflation and to introduce taxes on other energy sources which produce the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide (CO2) - including the coal and natural gas used in power generation. It is also designed to help governments create jobs by redirecting tax policy away from labour in a way that does not cut into their revenue. The EU assembly rejected the proposal by a vote of 239 to 215, with 20 abstentions. The move came after the dominant Socialist group succeeded in pushing through a series of amendments designed to link levels of taxation on different fuels more closely to their impact on the environment. Conservative and liberal Euro-deputies thought the amendments went too far while the Greens felt they did not go far enough, parliament officials said. The Socialists' amendments said the level of tax on different energy sources should be based partly on their environmental and public health effects, and called for tax exemptions for renewable sources of energy such as wind, wave and solar power.
2 February
CLINTON PROPOSES U.S. BUDGET ON ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY

The New York Times reported that the Clinton Administration is seeking a record $33.9 billion for environmental programs next year, an increase of 5 percent over this year's spending. Perhaps the hardest part of the budget to sell in Congress will be the $4 billion for fighting the risk of global warming, mainly by spurring research and investments in energy efficiency. But even industry lobbyists who have opposed a proposed international treaty to reduce emissions of heat-trapping gases welcomed some of the proposals, saying they would help companies take voluntary steps. Along with hefty increases in Federal energy research, the budget seeks $3.6 billion in tax breaks over the next five years for renewable energy investments and for purchases of energy-efficient homes, cars and appliances. Congress has turned down similar ideas before. Another major initiative calls for spending $1 billion next year to buy land for conservation, a record amount. Like several other environmental proposals, this one had already been announced by the White House. Regarding Energy Initiatives, the Energy Department's operating budget for the 2000 fiscal year would rise $717 million, or 4.1 percent about the 1999 figure, not counting one-time expenditures this year like buying enriched uranium from Russia and helping that country safeguard plutonium. Spending in 2000 would be $17.8 billion, about the same as what the department is spending this year, including those one-time expenditures. The Administration wants to spend $208 million more on renewable energy and energy efficiency, and $138 million for science projects, including supercomputers and a new nuclear laboratory at Oak Ridge, Tenn., that would use neutrons to investigate the properties of matter. The proposal also includes $109 million for "threats of nuclear, biological and chemical proliferation," and for doubling the counterintelligence effort, because of penetration of the department's laboratories by foreign spies.

JANUARY 1999


January 29
SCIENTISTS WARN AGAINST IGNORING CLIMATE CHANGE

The New York Times reported that the American Geophysical Union, the United States' most broadly based professional organization in earth and space science, said in an official policy statement Thursday that there was a "compelling basis for legitimate public concern" about human-induced climatic change. Scientific uncertainty about the problem, the statement said, "does not justify inaction" in coping with it. The statement dealt with the burning of fossil fuels like coal, oil and natural gas. The burning produces carbon dioxide, a gas that traps heat in Earth's atmosphere as in a greenhouse. The geophysical union said "there is no known geologic precedent" for the conversion of carbon from Earth's crust into atmospheric carbon dioxide, in the amounts being burned as fossil fuels, without changing the climate. The statement is the eighth the union has issued on some aspect of science-related public policy, and the latest in a long list of statements on global warming over the last two decades by prestigious scientific groups that have reached similar conclusions. While the statement recommended the development of strategies for dealing with global warming, it did not propose any specific solutions. See also: the BBC or the Christian Science Monitor
19 January
ITALY "CARBON TAX" TO RAISE 2.18 TRILLION LIRE

Reuters reported the Italy was putting up the price of petrol in line with a new "carbon tax" and that it expected the measure to raise 2.18 trillion lire to help cut labour costs and stimulate the jobs market in the poor south. Petrol prices, already among the highest in the European Union, will rise from 10 lire a litre for super gasoline to 40 lire a litre for diesel from midnight on Friday (2300 GMT). The cabinet earlier approved the carbon tax, a levy on polluting fuels that was one of the revenue-raising steps included in the 1999 budget and a measure designed to bring Italy in line with the Kyoto Protocol. Super petrol, which costs an average 1,815 lire a litre will go up by 10 lire. Lead-free petrol will cost 32 lire a litre more - the average price now is 1,715 lire. The cost of diesel, now an average of 1,348 lire a litre will go up by 40 lire. The cost of automobile methane will rise by 25 lire while that of liquid petroleum gas (LPG) will fall by 27 lire. The government said in a statement the carbon tax would help pay for three years of welfare contributions on behalf of employers taking on new staff in Italy's underdeveloped south, the "Mezzogiorno". The cash raised will also fund 50 percent of pension contributions for three years that young businessmen who change jobs by the end of next year would have faced. The government said it forecast the revenue from the carbon tax would rise to 2.271 trillion lire in 2000 and 2.271 trillion lire in 2001.
2 January
US INDUSTRY PRESSES FOR GREENHOUSE CREDIT

The New York Times reported that big companies were maneuvering to push through legislation giving them valuable credits for early actions to control the waste gases that the Kyoto Protocol would strictly limit. If the Senate approves it despite widespread opposition from major industries, companies want to be sure they get credit for any reductions they achieve before the treaty takes force in 2008. The legislation would mark a significant shift in the debate in the Senate over climate change, potentially moderating the opposition to the treaty among big industry groups and linking their financial interests to the goals of treaty supporters. For some companies, credits earned now could be applied against strict limits they would face later. Companies able to make even deeper cuts in emissions now could sell their surplus credits for billions of dollars under an emissions trading system. Three senators, led by John Chafee of Rhode Island, the leading Republican environmentalist in the Senate, introduced legislation late in the last session that would assure companies that their early reductions would earn credit under any mechanism the government establishes to limit emissions of greenhouse gases. The bill is also supported by Sens. Joseph Lieberman, D-Conn., and Connie Mack, R-Fla. The bill gives ton-for-ton credits to any of the more than 150 companies that can document reductions in their greenhouse gas emissions under voluntary federal programs.

DECEMBER 1998


21 December
EU MULLS CURBS ON POLLUTIVE JAPANESE, KOREAN CARS

Reuters reported that the European Union could impose binding restrictions on imports of cars from Japan and Korean which do not respect EU air pollution standards. ``There is a possibility we could introduce legislation. The European car industry has shown a huge envirnmental commitment. We are putting pressure on the Japanese and Korean manufacturers to reach a similar arrangement,'' European Environment Commissioner Ritt Bjerregaard told a news conference during a meeting of EU environment ministers. The Commission -- the executive arm of the 15-nation EU -- is pressing Japanese and South Korean vehicle manufacturers to copy their European rivals and produce more fuel-efficient cars, in a bid to cut the amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) spewed out from car exahusts. Emissions of CO2, the most powerful greenhouse gas, from the EU transport sector are increasing fast in spite of the bloc's commitment to combat global warming. The European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA) agreed in July to reduce car fuel consumption to around six litres per 100 kilometres by 2008, down from the current average of 7.7 litres/km, a move which would cut the amount of CO2 in exhaust fumes from 186 grammes per kilometre to 140g/km. But ACEA, whose members also include U.S. car makers Ford, General Motors and Chrysler, made it clear this commitment, which is not legally binding, hinges on rival manufacturers in Japan and Korea agreeing to equivalent efforts. But Commission officials say a first round of negotiations in October and November with the Japanese and Koreans revealed the Asian car makers were far from keen to follow ACEA's lead. The Japanese were imposing unacceptable conditions, including the abolition of the EU's 10 percent tariff on car imports, in return for reducing fuel consumption, and said the ACEA accord was too strict, one Commission official told reporters.

The Koreans, for their part, argued they did not have the technology to make the improvements and were unable to make such efforts while they were in the throes of an economic crisis and a restructuring process that had seen annual car sales plummet by 30 to 40 percent, the official said. The official said unless there was ``substantial progress'' in the negotiations by mid-1999, the Commission might propose legally-binding restrictions on Asian car imports who did not accept voluntary CO2 cuts. As such legislation would apply across the board to European and non-EU manufacturers alike, it would not be in violation of world trade rules, the official said. The Commission is due to report back to EU environment chiefs on the progress of the negotiations when the ministers reconvene in Brussels next March. According to ACEA data, leading Japanese car makers active in west European markets include Nissan, Toyota, Mazda (7261.T and Mitsubishi. ACEA gives no breakdown for imports from Korea.

8 December
EARTH AT ITS WARMEST IN PAST 12 CENTURIES

The Washington Post reported that the warming of the Earth in this century is without precedent in at least 1,200 years and cannot be fully explained by any known combination of natural forces, one of the federal government's top climate scientists said yesterday. New research that documents climate change as far back as the Holy Roman Empire is strengthening the argument that humans are partly responsible for the rising temperatures, said Jonathan Overpeck, head of the paleoclimatology program for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. "There is no period that we can recognize in the last 1,200 years that was as warm on a global basis," said Overpeck, who presented his findings at a meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco. "That makes what we're now seeing more unusual, and more difficult to explain without turning to a 'greenhouse gas' mechanism." Overpeck made the assertion as the eastern half of the United States basked in an extended December heat wave that has shattered temperature records in dozens of cities. Although the warm spell is not, of itself, evidence of global warming, a sharp spike in global temperatures in the past two years has intensified the debate over humankind's contribution to climate change. New scientific findings presented in San Franciso appeared to simultaneously add clarity and confusion to the debate. While some researchers reported strong signals of human-induced warming in the past century, other scientists acknowledged enormous uncertainties that complicate the task of forecasting climate change in the future. One of the speakers, James E. Hansen, director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, argues that scientists know too little about the complexities of climate, such as changes in cloud cover, to make accurate predictions. Hansen, who told a congressional panel in 1988 that the greenhouse effect "is here," caused a stir a month ago when he wrote about those uncertainties in a prominent journal, The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. "The forcings that drive long-term climate change are not known with an accuracy sufficient to define future climate change," Hansen wrote. Overpeck, in his speech, said this century's warmer temperatures are appearing more anomalous as scientists improve their understanding of climate change in the past. Not only has the 20th century produced the hottest years on record, he said, but the magnitude of change appears to be without parallel since at least 800 A.D.

NOVEMBER 1998


23 November
MIXED REACTION TO THE BUENOS AIRES PLAN OF ACTION AND COP-4
According to BBC News, the UK Environment Minister and Deputy Prime Minister, John Prescott, denied that the agreement had been fudged at the last minute saying it was a good day for the environment. "It didn't look as if it was going to come off but it has and I'm delighted," he said. "There's still a lot of work to do. What we've done is set out a timetable for that programme so that we can achieve it." "In a short time we have come a long way in trying to combat climate change for future generations," he said. "We set legally binding targets in Kyoto. Now, less than 12 months later, developed countries have set themselves an action plan to deliver those targets."  After emerging from the marathon talks with representatives from several key countries, Eizenstat said: "We're very pleased. We think it advances the momentum of Kyoto," reported the Economic Times of India. Eizenstat said "The conference reflected a changing attitude among nations and among corporations--a prime focus of any serious anti-pollution campaign--that is encouraging."
Others, such as the Financial Times, characterized the meeting as postponing most of its difficult decisions, doing little more than outline the items to be discussed in the future. Still others, such as Friends of the Earth labeled the agreement as an "inaction" plan. FOE claimed the conference had failed to face up to the fact that the Kyoto targets were not ambitious enough. "Every year that they put off hard political decisions, dangerous climate change becomes an increasing inevitability," the group said. Greenpeace said the real issue of escalating greenhouse gas emissions had been "obscured by a thick fog of jargon," adding: "Climate is getting pushed further and further down the agenda."  More optimistically, "There were few successes, but one of the surprise successes here was the worldwide recognition that the Kyoto protocol needs to have a credible compliance system in order to be effective," said Jennifer Morgan of the World Wildlife Fund. The world community must still decide how to monitor compliance, who will do the policing and what the punishments will be if targets are not met.

Regarding voluntary commitments, the  Washington Post reported that observers had cited the decisions by two developing countries -- Argentina and Kazakhstan -- to set voluntary limits on their emissions as a significant breakthrough. "The show of leadership to the rest of the world was critical," said Eileen Claussen of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change, a partnership of large corporations that broadly support action on climate change. "This meeting turned a critical corner, showing the first signs of a global response to this problem." One of the fiercest arguments was over  voluntary commitments to abate emissions, yet U.S. diplomats and environmentalists welcomed the notable change in the attitudes of developing nations, which in the past resisted pressure to increase their role in the fight against global warming.  Because U.S. ratification of the Kyoto treaty faces stiff opposition from Senate opponents who demand "meaningful progress" by key developing nations before considering the issue, the commitment by Argentina and Kazakhstan amounted to a domestic political victory for the Clinton administration. As reported in the Los Angeles Times, "These pledges reflect a growing recognition that climate change is truly a global challenge that requires a global solution," said Undersecretary of State Stuart E. Eizenstat, the chief U.S. delegate. "They have changed the map of future negotiations."

Regarding the US signing of the Protocol, US Vice President Al Gore said in the New York Times, "Our signing of the protocol underscores our determination to achieve a truly global solution to this global challenge." But he emphasized that much more bargaining lies ahead. "I am not gilding the lily when I say there was near euphoria among delegates here," he said. "They just felt this was a real sign of U.S. leadership. I think there was really a doubt that we were really going to pursue this, with all the opposition in the Senate and in other quarters. The feeling was that perhaps the domestic opposition was so stiff that we were going to back off." Others argued that it was not so significant, in fact, because it does not take the US any closer to ratification. "The president has chosen a risky path both domestically and internationally," said Connie Holms of the Global Climate Coalition, which represents major industry groups opposed to the treaty. "Clinton has sent the U.S. careening down an endless highway which appears on no maps, has no speed limits, no police patrols, and no exit or entrance ramps." Sen. Chuck Hagel, R.-Neb., who sponsored a Senate resolution last year that opposed signing the treaty unless certain conditions were met, said the signing "blatantly contradicts the will of the US Senate" and dared Clinton to submit it to the Senate. "If this treaty is good enough to sign, it's good enough to be submitted to the Senate for an open, honest debate," he said. But there is a strong possibility that without the US coming on board, the entire international agreement on emissions reductions could fall apart in a few years' time. The crunch time is likely to be after the next US presidential elections. Optimists about ratification hope that political sentiment in the US will swing behind the Kyoto protocol. They cite growing public concern about climate change, and a growing willingness of US industry to take climate change seriously, as grounds for hope.

2-13 November               
THE FOURTH CONFERENCE OF THE PARTIES TO THE UNFCCC

Send comments and questions to Chad Carpenter, IISD