The informal
thematic debate of the General Assembly on the subject of
“Climate change as a global challenge” was held from 31 July to
2 August 2007, in the Trusteeship Council Chamber at UN
headquarters in New York. On 31 July, two panel discussions were
held involving experts and representatives of intergovernmental
organizations and academic institutions. In the morning, the
panel session addressed “The science, the impact and the
adaptation imperative.” The afternoon panel focused on
mitigation strategies in the context of sustainable development.
From 1-2
August, member states engaged in a general discussion and
delivered statements about their national strategies and about
international commitments to address climate change.
OPENING OF THE MEETING
The event was
opened by UN General Assembly President Sheikha Haya Rashed Al
Khalifa (Bahrain) on Tuesday, 31 July. She explained that she
had convened this meeting following a request from the European
Union and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) New
York Committee. She highlighted the relevance of climate change
in the context of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and
the importance of developing a framework for tackling climate
change after 2012, when the Kyoto Protocol’s first commitment
period ends. She also noted the need for national strategies,
the value of carbon markets and the opportunity to build a
global consensus on climate change.
UN
Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said climate change is finally
receiving the highest attention, which it merits. Noting that
the science is clear and that serious impacts are already being
felt, he said the time has come for action on a global scale. He
urged new thinking and said a comprehensive agreement under the
UNFCCC for the post-2012 period was needed by 2009. He announced
a high-level General Assembly meeting on climate change on 24
September 2007. He noted his appointment of three special
climate change envoys and his discussions on this topic with
world leaders, local government representatives, civil society
and the private sector. He said the UN aims to become a climate
neutral organization.
PANEL I:
CLIMATE CHANGE: THE SCIENCE, THE IMPACT AND THE ADAPTATION
IMPERATIVE
The first
panel, which was moderated by UNDP Administrator Kemal Dervis,
focused on climate change science, impacts and the “adaptation
imperative.”
John Holdren,
Harvard University, provided an overview of climate change
science, observing that the significant impact of climate change
resulting from human activity is a “known fact” and that the
serious effects on humanity that will increase over time.
Sir Nicholas
Stern, London School of Economics, focused on the economic
consequences of climate change. He indicated that a “do nothing”
approach would ultimately result in the loss of five percent of
global economic income, whereas “strong and timely action now”
could reduce the costs of climate change to about one percent of
global income. Stating that the goal should be to keep the
amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere to 450-550 parts per
million (ppm), he suggested that it would be wise to try to stay
within the lower end of that range. To achieve this, he said 50
percent reductions in global emissions are needed by 2050.
Herve le Treut,
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique,
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
CNRS, outlined the development of climate science and modeling,
as well as various scenarios for future climate change.
Kenrick R.
Leslie, Caribbean Community Climate Change Center, reflected on
challenges facing his region, including the impacts of
temperature and sea-level rise, and of extreme weather events
such as hurricanes.
Sunita Narain,
Centre for Science and Environment, India, stressed that the
poor are the most vulnerable to climate change. She noted the
gender dimension to the problem and the particular vulnerability
of women in poor communities. She emphasized climate change as a
development issue and said adaptation was both inevitable and
costly. She also noted that no country has effectively de-linked
its economic growth from its emissions growth, and urged a
future multilateral regime based on fairness and justice.
Responding to
these presentations, Neroni Slade (Samoa) led the discussions,
noting the particular vulnerability of small island states. A
number of speakers stressed the need for fairness and justice in
how climate change is addressed by the global community,
recognizing the principle of common but differentiated
responsibilities.
Maldives
underscored latest findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC), suggesting that “we have not yet invented
a politics to go along with the climate science.” The
International Strategy for Disaster Risk Reduction (ISDR) noted
that more people are threatened now from extreme events than
ever before.
Brazil
stressed issues of fairness, equity and the principle of common
but differentiated responsibilities. He noted that reductions
from Annex I parties for the first commitment period are not
sufficient, and anticipated stronger commitments for the second
commitment period. He added that Brazil is ready to increase its
participation in ensuring a truly global effort.
WWF urged that
negotiations be started in Bali and concluded in 2009. He noted
that Annex I parties cannot solve the problem alone, and urged
the development of new mechanisms to address the problem.
The Stockholm
Environment Institute (SEI) said climate change and development
must be addressed together rather than separately. The Food and
Agriculture Organization and World Meteorological Organization
outlined their respective work on climate change.
Responding to
a question from Iran about the role of natural climate cycles in
causing climate change, John Holdren stressed that natural
variations do not explain the observed changes.
Regarding next
steps, Nicholas Stern outlined several elements he said would be
required for a global deal on climate change. He suggested that
the target of a 75 percent reduction by 2050 on the part of
developed countries would be required, along with an
intermediate target of a 20-30% reduction by 2020. With regards
to mitigation, he said it would be necessary to move beyond the
Kyoto Protocol’s existing Clean Development Mechanism (CDM),
which cannot provide emissions reductions at the scale needed.
He supported bringing deforestation into a future mechanism. He
also urged more research and resources for adaptation and
political leadership to secure an agreement.
Sunita Narain
said developed countries need to accept their responsibility for
climate change, stressed the right of developing countries to
economic growth and development, and said the South should not
be expected to take on targets. John Holdren said the North must
begin to cut emissions immediately, while the South’s emissions
would need to start declining by 2020-2025.
PANEL II: MITIGATION STRATEGIES IN THE CONTEXT OF
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
On Tuesday
afternoon, a panel session was held on mitigation strategies in
the context of sustainable development.The discussion was
moderated by Mohamed El-Ashry, UN Foundation. He identified
various elements that should be considered in developing a
post-2012 framework, including: differentiated targets and
timetables that reflect issues of equity and fairness, forests
and carbon sinks, market-based mechanisms, adaptation financing
mechanisms, technology development and transfer, and financing.
Robert Socolow,
Princeton University, reported on research confirming the
significant and ongoing increase in fossil fuel extraction and
greenhouse gas emissions over time. He outlined a variety of
policies that could act as “wedges” to reduce current emissions
growth. Noting that both North and South would have to take
action, he said neither would have a “free pass” to continue
business as usual, but the North would have to cut emissions
considerably by 2050 (by about 75%). He suggested a focus on the
wealthy one-fifth of the world’s population who are responsible
for high per capita emissions regardless of what country
they live in.
Anthony
Olusegun Adegbulugbe, Obafemi Awolowo University, Nigeria, noted
developing countries’ tendency to downplay climate change
compared with development concerns, while noting a growing
recognition of their vulnerability to climate change. He
highlighted synergies between climate mitigation strategies and
development policies in areas such as energy efficiency, fuel
substitution, renewables, afforestation, and land and waste
management.
Bjorn Stigson,
World Business Council for Sustainable Development, noted the
private sector’s major role in investing in future
infrastructure and as a key stakeholder in combating climate
change. He said business needs a sound policy and regulatory
environment and clear carbon price signals. He stressed the need
for increased public-private sector cooperation, stating that
the private sector is not yet seen as an equal partner in the
UNFCCC process.
Abdalla Salem
El-Badri, OPEC, underscored the principle of common but
differentiated responsibilities and urged access to modern
energy to meet the MDGs. He welcomed diversification in the
energy mix, while noting that fossil fuels are expected to meet
most of the growth in demand expected through to 2030, and the
potential of carbon capture and storage in this regard.
Michael
Liebreich, New Energy Finance, discussed the potential role of
clean energy in mitigating climate change, noting the recent
growth of investment in renewables in the US and Asia, the value
of carbon funds, the need to scale up the CDM or a successor
mechanism, and the need to transfer technology and skills.
Yvo de Boer,
UNFCCC Executive Secretary, noted that the Kyoto Protocol is not
sufficient to deliver the emissions reductions needed to tackle
climate change, and considered what the ground rules might be
for a negotiation on a post-2012 framework to be launched in
Bali, and what a future agreement might include. He said parties
need to feel that their concerns are being taken into account,
noting that industrialized countries want an ambitious,
cost-effective approach that does not impact competitiveness and
enhances the engagement of developing countries, while
developing countries are focused on poverty eradication and
economic growth. He then proposed that the post-2012 framework
should not include “hard” targets for developing countries, but
instead provide incentives to limit emissions growth, support
clean energy, and address concerns about competitiveness and
economic growth. He drew attention to a sectoral or policy-based
approach as one avenue for further exploration. He stressed the
role of the private sector, market-based mechanisms and equity.
Finally, he expressed optimism for future talks, given recent
agreements within the G8 and EU and the efforts of such
countries as China, India and Brazil.
In the ensuing
discussion, Masayuki Sasanouchi, Environmental Affairs, Toyota,
stressed the importance of technology innovation, development
and commercialization. Paul Bledsoe, US National Commission on
Energy Policy, recommended mandatory targets for the US, higher
automotive fuel standards, and energy efficiency goals across
all sectors. He suggested that once the US has adopted strong
emissions targets, developing countries could eventually take on
goals, adding that major developing countries are already taking
serious action.
Several
speakers stressed the role of the private sector, with one
referring to the need for straightforward regulation,
predictability and transparency. China emphasized its efforts to
combat climate change, noting that it was wrong to assume that
China was not doing anything simply because it does not have
targets under the Kyoto Protocol, and that the challenges for
developing countries to continue to grow economically while
addressing environmental issues are unprecedented. Robert
Socolow questioned whether the UNFCCC separation of countries
into groups such as “Annex I” was still useful, since “we are
all citizens of a world in danger.”
CONCLUDING
ADDRESS:
Following the second panel discussion,
participants heard a concluding address by Jeffrey Sachs, Earth
Institute, Columbia University. Sachs said there was both good
and bad news relating to the climate change dilemma. On the
positive side, he said the costs of solving the problem were
actually much less than had been originally feared: probably
less than one percent of global income. However, he feared that
even forging an agreement between countries to spend fractions
of one percent of their income would not be easy.
He suggested a
focus on a few key sectors, namely energy, transportation and
deforestation. On deforestation, he said addressing this would
provide a low-cost, large-scale, pro-poor solution. Regarding
energy, he said an ongoing reliance on fossil fuels was
inevitable, and urged demonstration projects to establish carbon
capture and storage as a viable technology. He also supported
scaling-up renewable energy sources and hybrid vehicles.
He argued that
a carbon tax would be much easier to regulate and monitor than a
carbon market, supported a subsidy on sequestration, and said
developed countries should have to bear most of the costs,
although these would not be onerous. He expressed optimism that
negotiations in Bali would be successful and said that once
countries study the financial costs they will realize that it is
affordable and far cheaper than the costs of inaction. He
suggested that both North and South should be committed to
action and that a voluntary approach would not be required
because industrialized countries could easily support the South.
GENERAL DISCUSSION
On 1 and 2
August, member states engaged in a general discussion and
delivered statements about their national strategies and
international commitments to address climate change.
The discussion
began with a briefing from two of the three Special Envoys on
Climate Change appointed by the UN Secretary-General in May
2007: Ricardo Lagos and Han Seung-soo (the third Envoy, Gro
Harlem Brundtland, was unable to attend).
Ricardo Lagos,
former President of Chile, urged a political decision on a
post-2012 regime involving all countries, asking whether it was
possible to envisage a third category of countries that are
neither rich nor poor but have a medium-level per capita
income. He expressed optimism that an agreement was possible and
said negotiators at the Bali conference in December 2007 should
establish a clear and defined timetable to finalize a deal by
2009.
Han Seung-soo,
former President of the General Assembly and Deputy Prime
Minister of the Republic of Korea, reflected on his discussions
with world leaders in his new role as Special Envoy. He
explained that the high-level General Assembly event on 24
September would not be a negotiation, since the UNFCCC is the
forum for such talks. However, the September meeting did present
an opportunity to send a political signal to negotiators at the
Bali conference.
Sha Zukang, UN
Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs, noted
the many relevant policies and actions identified during the
past two sessions of the Commission on Sustainable Development.
He also emphasized the importance of partnerships, access to
clean technology, South-South cooperation, and integrating
climate change within the broader development agenda.
STATEMENTS BY
MEMBER STATES:
National actions to address climate change were reported by many
countries, including Albania, Argentina, Australia, Barbados,
Bahrain, Belarus, Canada, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Croatia,
Ecuador, Egypt, Finland, France, Germany, Ghana, Greece,
Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Lebanon, Libya,
Liechtenstein, Malawi, Maldives, Mauritius, Mexico, Moldova,
Monaco, Morocco, Myanmar, Namibia, Nepal, Niger, Nigeria, Palau,
Peru, Philippines, Qatar, Republic of Korea, Senegal, Singapore,
Solomon Islands, Spain, Sudan, Syria, Thailand, Tunisia, Turkey,
Uruguay and Zimbabwe).
As well, many
speakers outlined their views on the multilateral negotiations
designed to reach an agreement for the post-2012 period, when
the Kyoto Protocol’s first commitment period ends. A number of
speakers said the high-level event on 24 September 2007 called
by the UN Secretary-General should provide political momentum
for an agreement at the Bali conference in December 2007 on a
“roadmap” for completing post-2012 negotiations by 2009. The
urgency of the climate change problem and the importance of
equity, fairness and the principle of common but differentiated
responsibilities in developing a future agreement were also
underscored by many speakers. A number of member states also
affirmed the UNFCCC as the appropriate forum for negotiations.
Pakistan,
speaking on behalf of the Group of 77 and China, called on all
member states to ratify the UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol. He
emphasized developed countries’ responsibility to make deeper
emissions cuts, noted the need to increase financial support,
technology transfer and capacity building, and urged more
North-South, South-South and triangular cooperation. He stressed
the UNFCCC as the appropriate forum for reaching a global
consensus and said the Bali conference in December 2007 should
produce a clear timeframe and a plan to reach an agreement on a
post-2012 framework.
Portugal, for
the European Union (EU), noted the EU’s unilateral commitment to
cut emissions by 20 percent by 2020 compared with 1990 levels,
and its willingness to cut emissions by up to 30 percent if
other developed countries made comparable commitments. He
supported extending the carbon market, increased cooperation on
technology research and transfer, addressing emissions from
international aviation and maritime transport, and reducing
emissions from deforestation. He said the EU’s goal of
restricting overall global mean surface temperatures to 2°C or
less means global emissions should peak within 15 years. He
stressed the importance of absolute emissions reduction
commitments and the need for developed countries to take the
lead. Finally, he said the Bali conference should result in
agreement on the need for a new multilateral regime by 2009.
Uganda, for
the African Group, urged strengthening the Adaptation Fund and
supported an open and transparent process in striving for a
multilateral agreement. He stressed climate change as a
sustainable development issue, underscored the UNFCCC and Kyoto
Protocol process as the appropriate forum for discussion, and
expressed concerns at attempts to link this issue too closely to
issues of security or governance.
Belize, on
behalf of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM), urged developed and
emerging developing countries to agree on a strong mitigation
framework. He noted with concern the absence of CDM activities
in the Caribbean and also stressed the importance of action on
adaptation.
Grenada, on
behalf of for the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS),
stressed the needs of small island developing states, the
potential role of private financing, and the expansion of risk
insurance funds.
Benin, for the
Least Developed Countries (LDCs), urged improved access to the
CDM, and greater consideration to the needs of the LDCs with
regards to emergency response measures. He urged developed
countries to meet their obligations under various multilateral
agreements to support LDCs, including in adapting to climate
change.
The US
emphasized his country’s commitment to the UNFCCC and to an
approach recognizing the fundamental connections of energy
security, climate change and sustainable development. He
outlined domestic actions, including steps to reduce the
economy’s greenhouse gas intensity, cutting gasoline
consumption, and cooperating on clean technologies.
The Russian
Federation advocated the consolidation of efforts of all
countries, without exception. Kuwait opposed setting commitments
or targets for developing countries, stating that developed
countries must meet their commitments under the UNFCCC and Kyoto
Protocol.
The UK
characterized climate change as a shared dilemma that demands
actions by all, recognizing the principle of common but
differentiated responsibilities. He stressed the need for
developed countries to take the lead and for developing
countries to take action also, with support and assistance from
the North.
China
emphasized the need to address unsustainable patterns of
consumption and the need for clean technology development and
transfer. He drew attention to China’s new National Climate
Change Programme. This Programme includes several goals for
2010, including: a 20 percent reduction of energy consumption
per unit of GDP; raising the share of renewables (including
large-scale hydropower) to 10 percent; stabilizing industrial
emissions of nitrous oxide at 2005 levels; and increasing forest
cover to 20 percent of the country. He suggested that, while the
world has focused on China’s total emissions, it has not
recognized the fact that China has 1.3 billion people and
relatively low per capita emissions. He urged cooperation
to achieve “win-win” solutions.
India said
environmental concerns should not become conditionalities that
hinder growth in developing countries. He said the concept of
large developing country emitters does not exist in the UNFCCC
or any other UN agreement, and developed countries should not
try to “export the problem” of climate change given their
historical responsibilities. He stressed the low per capita
emissions in countries such as India.
Ukraine
highlighted the role of Joint Implementation and supported a
longer commitment period. He suggested bringing together and
systematizing the various multilateral environmental agreements.
Trinidad and Tobago urged completion of negotiations on the
Adaptation Fund and said the adaptation needs of small island
developing states must be prioritized.
Japan said all
major emitters must participate in a new framework, thus moving
beyond the Kyoto Protocol. He said a new framework must be
flexible and diverse, taking into account each country’s
circumstances. He added that Japan would extend wide-ranging
support to countries that can agree with this approach and would
develop a new mechanism to provide long-term support to
developing countries.
Germany noted
the EU’s ambitious agenda and his country’s willingness to go
even further by cutting emissions by up to 40% by 2020. He also
drew attention to the significant employment creation benefits
from various energy and climate change projects.
Australia
highlighted the announcement of its cap-and-trade emissions
trading system in July 2007 and said it would set a long-term
aspirational goal in 2008. He supported an international
framework that includes all major emitters and allows for
flexibility. He also highlighted initiatives at the regional and
bilateral levels. New Zealand supported agreement on a Bali
roadmap and a post-2012 outcome that includes factors such as
deforestation and a technology component.
Sweden said a
future regime should be effective, fair and comprehensive,
intensify action under the Convention, and give a high priority
to adaptation, with industrialized countries assisting
developing countries in this regard. She added that a future
regime should recognize that developing countries are already
making important contributions to tackling climate change and
that their further engagement will be part of the overall effort
in limiting and reducing emissions.
Brazil said
developing countries should not be expected to take on
commitments now but that incentives should be provided for them
to take on actions and initiatives suited to their national
circumstances. He noted Brazil’s proposal relating to
deforestation and its successful 30-year experience with
biofuels. He added that different countries bear different
levels of responsibility for the problem and should approach the
negotiations accordingly. Cuba expressed concerns at the
“troubling” US strategy, suggesting that it may compromise
global food security.
Switzerland
stressed community resilience to natural disasters and the Hyogo
Framework for Action 2005-2015. He also noted the relevance of
the UN reform process on global environmental governance.
Iceland noted work towards a sustainable hydrogen society and
the potential for geothermal energy in many developing
countries.
El Salvador
stressed the importance of a multi-stakeholder approach to
tackling climate change. The Czech Republic supported ambitious
commitments for the next commitment period and support by the
North for developing countries. Malaysia stressed the need for a
strong technology component in a future agreement. Guatemala
raised issues of avoided deforestation, linkages between climate
and biodiversity protection, and ecosystem services.
Chile said the
Bali conference should result in a roadmap and the establishment
of a preparatory committee with high-level representation that
is open to all parties and encourages NGO and private sector
participation. He said the process should result in
industrialized countries taking on stronger targets and
commitments by developing countries to adopt national policies
to combat climate change. The process should conclude at a world
leaders’ summit in early 2010.
Norway noted
the broad consensus that the future agreement should be firmly
anchored in the UNFCCC, and noted its activities on carbon
capture and storage. Saudi Arabia said mitigation actions must
not lead to market distortions that disrupt energy supplies or
block development. He expressed concern that oil exporting
developing countries are negatively impacted both by climate
change and the response measures meant to address climate
change. Israel emphasized the role of private investment funds
and noted its work on renewables, with 75 percent of households
already using solar power for water heating. Denmark noted its
“pioneering role” in renewable energy and energy efficiency.
Iran highlighted linkages with desertification.
Tuvalu urged a
new legal instrument under the UNFCCC that would allow
developing countries to take on voluntary commitments and would
include incentives. Bangladesh was encouraged by the G8 goal of
at least halving emissions by 2050, urged all major emitters to
work together on global targets for the short-, medium- and
long-term, stressed that industrialized countries must take the
lead, and raised the issue of environmental refugees. Tanzania
urged more CDM projects in Africa.
South Africa
proposed a Bali roadmap to provide momentum and a negotiating
framework for the next two years. This roadmap would outline a
clear programme of work with a view to concluding a deal by the
end of 2009. He suggested that a package deal would need to
strike a balance between five key areas: adaptation; mitigation;
managing the unintended consequences of policies and measures on
other countries’ economies; technology development, diffusion
and commercialization; and means of implementation, including
capacity building, financing and awareness. With regards to
mitigation, he proposed more ambitious and legally-binding
targets for all developed countries under the Kyoto Protocol,
and “enhanced and incentivized mitigation actions” by developing
countries under the UNFCCC. In this context, he indicated that
the current “Convention-track” dialogue should be converted into
a “meaningful negotiating framework.”
CLOSE OF THE MEETING:
In her concluding remarks, General Assembly President Sheikha
Haya Rashed Al Khalifa thanked participants for ensuring a
successful event. She highlighted speeches outlining the many
ongoing national activities, as well as comments on the UNFCCC’s
key role, the clear and compelling science, the need for
industrialized countries to set more ambitious targets and the
importance of support for developing countries to assist them in
doing more on climate change. She also noted the need for a
clear political vision for the future, the gender dimension, the
particular needs of LDCs and SIDS, the role of the private
sector, the broader development agenda and the relevance of
climate change to the MDGs. Indicating that a summary of the
debate would be circulated shortly, she closed the meeting at
6:45 pm on Thursday, 2 August.
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